Vodacom Durban July - First Entries

Not sure why they embargoed the first entries yesterday, but they are announced today on Tellytrack ( not sure what time)

Will post ASAP

Event-1 R4 250 000 2200m (Turf)
VODACOM DURBAN JULY (Grade 1)
0 Abashiri M G Azzie/A A Azzie 109
0 African Night Sky Justin Snaith 108
0 Banner Hill Geoff Woodruff 105
0 Brazuca (AUS) J A Janse van Vuuren 104
0 Cascapedia (IRE) Mike de Kock 109
0 Chariot Of Gold Sean Tarry 84
0 Coral Fever Robbie Sage 110
0 Crowd Pleaser J A Janse van Vuuren 105
0 Dark Moon Rising Paul Lafferty 95
0 Dawn Assault St John Gray 103
0 Deo Juvente Geoff Woodruff 112
0 Do It Again Justin Snaith 110
0 Elusive Silva Justin Snaith 107
0 Fort Ember Paul Peter 108
0 French Navy Sean Tarry 104
0 Gambado Alec Laird 88
0 Girl On The Run J A Janse van Vuuren 100
0 Glider Pilot Tyrone Zackey 106
0 Gold Standard Glen Kotzen 117
0 Greek Fire M G Azzie/A A Azzie 106
0 Head Honcho Andre Nel 95
0 It's My Turn Dean Kannemeyer 108
0 Lady In Black Dennis Drier 111
0 Legend Duncan Howells 91
0 Legislate Justin Snaith 117
0 Liege Sean Tarry 110
0 Like A Panther Mike de Kock 106
0 Majestic Mambo Paul Peter 104
0 Mambo Mime Dean Kannemeyer 104
0 Mardi Gras J A Janse van Vuuren 90
0 Matador Man Sean Tarry 105
0 My Favourite Brown (AUS) J A Janse van Vuuren 88
0 Ngaga (AUS) Andre Nel 102
0 Noble Secret Mike de Kock 106
0 Nother Russia Mike de Kock 112
0 Oh Susanna (AUS) Justin Snaith 121
0 Pack Leader Glen Kotzen 106
0 Perovskia Harold Crawford 99
0 Platinum Prince Justin Snaith 101
0 Rabada Brett Crawford 112
0 Red Chesnut Road Robbie Hill 102
0 Roy Had Enough (AUS) Frank Robinson 110
0 Roy's Riviera (AUS) Frank Robinson 96
0 Royal Crusade Mike de Kock 101
0 Sabina's Dynasty Paul Peter 97
0 Safe Harbour Sean Tarry 107
0 Saratoga Dancer Duncan Howells 112
0 Secret Potion Geoff Woodruff 102
0 Shenanigans Sean Tarry 89
0 Silva's Bullet Dean Kannemeyer 91
0 Silvan Star Glen Kotzen 108
0 Silver God Sean Tarry 93
0 Silver Thursday Mike de Kock 103
0 Simply Royal Sean Tarry 101
0 Social Order Sean Tarry 106
0 Star Express Justin Snaith 109
0 Steel Rose Glen Puller 106
0 Strathdon Justin Snaith 97
0 Surcharge Stuart Pettigrew 110
0 Takingthepeace Mike de Kock 104
0 The Rocketman (AUS) M G Azzie/A A Azzie 92
0 The Slade Dean Kannemeyer 105
0 Throng Sean Tarry 82
0 Tilbury Fort Sean Tarry 97
0 Warrior's Rest Sean Tarry 102
0 White River Brett Crawford 109
0 Wild Wicket Duncan Howells 100
0 Wind Chill Joe Soma 103
0 Yakeen (AUS) Mike de Kock 97
(69)

Tap ‘O Noth is gone



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Mac wrote: Tap ‘O Noth is gone

but both Legislate and Rabada is back :ohmy:



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Marcus on ante-post favorite African Night Sky. Snaiths have made their gambit, clearly

Interestingly the 2 top weights at this stage will be Legislate and Gold Standard off a 117 rating. Then there is a big drop down to 112 if my eyes did not deceive me.

If no horse 4 year old or older horse is supplemented into the race off a 121 Oh Susanna will come into the race being the best handicapped horse by 8 points (taking into account the 4 point WFA). A 3 year filly can carry a maximum of 56 kg's in the July. African Night Sky will still have a big pull in the weights from the Met run but 3 year olds should have come on from February to July.

What is scary is that if there was not the 6 points added in March we would be looking at (barring Oh Susanna) two 111 followed by a few 106 as the best rated horses in the race.

Cheers Shrek might be mistaken but did they not say that OSuz had other plans than July?

Just a few notes from the conditions for the race courtesy of Karel at SP:

Weights shall be framed by the Handicapper in his sole discretion and without necessarily having regard for horses’ merit ratings, but subject to the following:
1. The weights to be carried shall not exceed 60kg and shall not be less than 52kg.
2. Minimum weight for 4-yo and older: Colts and Geldings 53kg Fillies and Mares 52kg
Maximum weight for 4-yo and older at publication of weights: Colts and Geldings 60kg Fillies and Mares 59kg
3. Minimum weight for 3-yo: Colts and Geldings 53kg Fillies 52kg
Maximum weight for 3-yo at publication of weights: Colts and Geldings 57kg Fillies and Mares 56kg

Qualifying Races: (whoever wrote this long sentence should not be allowed to communicate ever again)
The winners of the following Grade 1 races in the current season will qualify automatically save that, where appropriate, Gold Circle reserves the right to request a public gallop to determine the well-being / fitness in the event that any of these winners have not raced within three months of the date of final declaration (given the timing of these races, this would practically speaking only apply to winners of Events 1, 2 & 3):-

1. L’Ormarins Queens Plate – Legal Eagle (not entered)
2. SunMet – Oh Susanna (MR 121 – will carry maximum for 3yo filly of 56kg)
3. Investec Cape Derby – Eyes Wide Open (not entered)
4. SA Classic – Lobo’s Legend (not entered)
5. Wilgerbosdrift SA Fillies Classic – Takingthepeace (MR 104 – given highest older male MR is 117 and wfa =-4 that means she’ll have minimum 3yo filly weight of 52kg – so she gets 4kg from a 3yo filly rated 121….)
6. SA Derby
7. Premier’s Champions Challenge
8. Daily News 2000
9. Woolavington 2000
10. Rising Sun Gold Challenge

Winners of the following races in the current season will enjoy preferential consideration for
inclusion in the final field:-
1. Sansui Summer Cup (Gr 1) – Liege (MR 110)
2. Betting World 1900 (Gr 2)
3. Cup Trial (Gr 3)
4. Jubilee Handicap (Gr 3)

Sorted by Merit Rating

0 Oh Susanna (AUS) Justin Snaith 121
0 Gold Standard Glen Kotzen 117
0 Legislate Justin Snaith 117
0 Deo Juvente Geoff Woodruff 112
0 Nother Russia Mike de Kock 112
0 Rabada Brett Crawford 112
0 Saratoga Dancer Duncan Howells 112
0 Lady In Black Dennis Drier 111
0 Coral Fever Robbie Sage 110
0 Do It Again Justin Snaith 110
0 Liege Sean Tarry 110
0 Roy Had Enough (AUS) Frank Robinson 110
0 Surcharge Stuart Pettigrew 110
0 Abashiri M G Azzie/A A Azzie 109
0 Cascapedia (IRE) Mike de Kock 109
0 Star Express Justin Snaith 109
0 White River Brett Crawford 109
0 African Night Sky Justin Snaith 108
0 Fort Ember Paul Peter 108
0 It's My Turn Dean Kannemeyer 108
0 Silvan Star Glen Kotzen 108
0 Elusive Silva Justin Snaith 107
0 Safe Harbour Sean Tarry 107
0 Glider Pilot Tyrone Zackey 106
0 Greek Fire M G Azzie/A A Azzie 106
0 Like A Panther Mike de Kock 106
0 Noble Secret Mike de Kock 106
0 Pack Leader Glen Kotzen 106
0 Social Order Sean Tarry 106
0 Steel Rose Glen Puller 106
0 Banner Hill Geoff Woodruff 105
0 Crowd Pleaser J A Janse van Vuuren 105
0 Matador Man Sean Tarry 105
0 The Slade Dean Kannemeyer 105
0 Brazuca (AUS) J A Janse van Vuuren 104
0 French Navy Sean Tarry 104
0 Majestic Mambo Paul Peter 104
0 Mambo Mime Dean Kannemeyer 104
0 Takingthepeace Mike de Kock 104
0 Dawn Assault St John Gray 103
0 Silver Thursday Mike de Kock 103
0 Wind Chill Joe Soma 103
0 Ngaga (AUS) Andre Nel 102
0 Red Chesnut Road Robbie Hill 102
0 Secret Potion Geoff Woodruff 102
0 Warrior's Rest Sean Tarry 102
0 Platinum Prince Justin Snaith 101
0 Royal Crusade Mike de Kock 101
0 Simply Royal Sean Tarry 101
0 Girl On The Run J A Janse van Vuuren 100
0 Wild Wicket Duncan Howells 100
0 Perovskia Harold Crawford 99
0 Sabina's Dynasty Paul Peter 97
0 Strathdon Justin Snaith 97
0 Tilbury Fort Sean Tarry 97
0 Yakeen (AUS) Mike de Kock 97
0 Roy's Riviera (AUS) Frank Robinson 96
0 Dark Moon Rising Paul Lafferty 95
0 Head Honcho Andre Nel 95
0 Silver God Sean Tarry 93
0 The Rocketman (AUS) M G Azzie/A A Azzie 92
0 Legend Duncan Howells 91
0 Silva's Bullet Dean Kannemeyer 91
0 Mardi Gras J A Janse van Vuuren 90
0 Shenanigans Sean Tarry 89
0 Gambado Alec Laird 88
0 My Favourite Brown (AUS) J A Janse van Vuuren 88
0 Chariot Of Gold Sean Tarry 84
0 Throng Sean Tarry 82

12/1 Oh Susanna?

On the Met run, African Night Sky is so much better off than anything else that he will need to run a lot worse than in the Met to get beat.....

IF Oh Susanna stays in (which I doubt), she would go up 4.5 kgs from the Met, and ANS will go down 4 kgs - so thats an 8.5 kg difference and I can't see OS improving 17 points since the Met ....

IF OS is taken out and Gold Standard stays in (not sure what the plans are), then GS will go up 0.5 kgs and ANS will go down 1.5 kgs - and ANS finished in front of GS in the Met

IF all of OS, GS and Deo Juvente comes out, then Saratoga Dancer might end up as top weight at 60 kgs - and ANS will come in at 58 kgs

IMO ANS was underrated on his Met performance - if one would have OS running to 115 (before the recent 6 points increase) in the Met, then by my calcs ANS ran to 117 - so today he should be 123 :ohmy: For me OS ran to much lower (106) - but that would still make ANS 108 - the same mark he is today - after being given a 6 point increase

Long story short - IF everything stays on track with ANS he will walk the July - and I have put my money where my mouth is

Anyone's else like Majestic Mambo , this horse looks really decent