VAAL Tuesday 8 January

Race 5 Whorly Whorly - 9/1 too big, will appreciate the extra 200m here, just hope there is enough pace in the race.

Samara 20-1 big places small Wins

ROYAL CITY each way
KISSABLE
SEA OF ROSES
SAN FERMIN
HEAVENLY RISK
SEVILLE ORANGE
SILVER THURSDAY
NINJARA
JACKMAN
MANHATTAN COCKTAIL

First thing to note about today is that according Sahorseracing, 91% :huh: of rain is expected; second thing that caught my attention, is that the Tarry stable (for some reason) had a pretty dismal day on Sunday at the Big T - many runners not running up to scratch 3rd thing is that there has been plenty of rain rain around, so some horses not able to work as much as planned - all in all could be a bit of nightmare meeting

Thoughts on the form:

R2: Should not be much between Winter Watch and Memphis Belle; Kissable a big danger at best, but needs fast going imo

R3: Lady Lexington - the form of her first run seems strong, and the supported first timer Bold Ellie would have to be quite good to beat her imo

R4: San Fermin tries blinkers, and has been showing steady improvement since a break - looks well treated at the weights and has to rate the one to beat; stable mate Whitehaven has always looked capable and tries blinkers as well, so should prove competitive along with Nautic Spirit and Against the Grain (probably prefers a bit further)

R5: Place Chapel imo ticks a lot of boxes - has won his last two starts convincingly - he has not run in the wet, bu if it stays dry I make him hard to beat; main danger is the Tarry inmate Carbon Atom; the others imo much of a muchness but will have to pick up their feet - Dan the Lad in the form of his life, but the 1200 not his ideal trip imo

R6: Competitive; Tammany Hall found 2000m too far last week, but should feature over the shorter trip; Pale Lilac and Seville Orange the obvious two coming of wins in their last starts and Dame Kelly has been threatening for a while now and can't be ignored with the Tarry inmate Fortuna Doro; Shelly seems better around the turn

R7: Silver Thursday has really been disappointing - but tries blinkers today and on her class (what price Takingthepeace against one and two time winners) can't be ignored; if she fluffs her lines again, Flying Fable the main danger imo; next best for me Crimson Royale; favorite Blossom did not beat the strongest lot in her maiden, and needs more improvement imo

R8: Tough handicaps with big fields to close the JP and P6, and many runners have claims - I think Samarra looks good value at the odds - better this 1400 and well in with the allowance (1.5 kgs only)

R9: Realy tough; Master Boulder is running consistently and now gets a 4kg allowance - but have to wonder why Dev Habib (getting good rides for this stable) is on the stable mate I'm including 8 horses in the PA :huh:

Enjoy

My fancies:

R3: LADY LEXINGTON (was well supported on debut)
R4: SAN FERMIN (I know the stable has rated this one)
R7: SILVER THURSDAY (the one to beat on prior form)

Well shes out of Bold Ellinore and although this is short 1200m is testing and a weak field

My Elusive rested but will run well

Do not leave out THE IRISHMAN in Race 1 out of the placings.

Was fancied on debut!

Erico Verdonese
No 12 Royal City - May need the experience
Ormonde Ferraris
No 4 Trumps Triumph : With all the rain about I have battled to work my horses

Race 2

Dorrie Sham
No 4 Lawdy Miss Clawdy - May need it but fresh and well.
Ormonde Ferraris
No 3 Made In Hollywood : I Have battled to work my horses because of
all the rain around

Race 3

Paul Matchett
No 1 My Elusive - Will need the run
Geoff Woodruff
No 10 Evening Bell - Bred for further, will probably need this run for
experience
Heather Adamson
No 4 Mega Lee - Should enjoy the extra 200 meters as well as the sting
out of the ground
Brett Warren
No 12 Icon - Showed improvement last time and hoping for further
improvement over the extra distance
Alec Laird
No 13 Lady Lexington - Ran a good race first time out and should have
a winning chance.

Race 4

Brett Warren
No 8 Smoke - Has been off since April last year. He has ability but could need
this run

Race 5

Brett Warren
No 8 Sporting Monarch - Won his last start over the course and
distance. He tackles stronger here but should give a good account of
himself
Ashley Fortune
No 6 Mount Keith - Hoping for a place in a competitive field

Race 6

Alec Laird
No 7 Pale Lilac - Won well with the blinkers and has an each way chance
Ormonde Ferraris
No 3 Dame Kelly : With all the rain we have had I have battled to work my horses

Race 7

Romeo Francis
No 7 Soul Of Wit - Has an each way chance
Ormonde Ferraris
No 4 Blossom : With all the rain we have had we have not been able to
get work into the horses

Race 8

Alec Laird
No 3 State Star - Each way chance, hoping to finish in the first three
Ashley Fortune
No 2 Get Your Grove On - Loves this course and distance. will run well

Race 9

Heather Adamson
No 16 Monty Python - Expecting a decent run, should be in the shake up
Brett Warren
No 7 Sharp Gitano - Should need this run
Alec Laird
No 4 Blue Diamond Road - Has not won for a long time but is never far
off them. Should be in the first three.

Race 10

Brett Warren
No 7 Casciano - Is a lovely horse and should run a nice race
Alec Laird
No 6 Cherokee Grey - Was in need of his last race and should be
included in bets.

CHRIS JONKER 1 HORSE 1 WINNER
:silly: :silly: :silly: :silly:

5/1 :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: GET SOME :evil: :evil:

1 of GRANT MAROUN 100/1 shot has to come in :dry: :dry: :dry:

Going with CONQUERING BRITAIN (4th place)

R1 PHOENIX SUN 80/1 bet365 but hoping for a top 8 finish on each way extra at 33/1

Agree, on to Dan the Lad