Turffontein 20/4/19

Discuss below

Race 3: Byron Bay , looks to be crying out for this longer trip , could be hard to beat here

Race 6: Verdier , holds a few shorter in the betting on run to The Dazzler over and looks worth a nibble at the price

RACE 3

If you look at the HANDS OF MAN race over C/D

VOODOO,carried 60kgs
FLAME FELLA,carried 57kgs
SMART DEAL,carried 60kgs
THE LITIGATOR,carried 53kgs

Voodoo finished in 2nd place 2.10 lengths off the winner (ran on strongly late)
Flame fella finished in 3rd place 2.35 lengths off the winner (stayed on at finish)
Smart deal finished in 4th 6.35 lengths off the winner (did not kick on)
The litigator finished last 50 lengths off the winner (but cast shoe)

Flame fella is favorite, but he carried 3kgs less in his 1 run over C/D
Byron Bay second favorite but its a test of stamina,will he get 600m more last race over the 2000m he finished 3rd running on at finish
The litigator is held by Flame fella over last race,but flame fella is held by Voodoo over the 2600m
Humor me 7/1,only 1 run over 2000m,handy weakened
Blind asset 100/1,betting says no chance

Which leaves,the 2 best runners based on form,and that have carried 60kgs over c/d

SMART DEAL 8/1
Dst: 3:0-2-0
C&D:3:0-2-0

VOODOO 8/1
Dst: 8:0-2-2
C&D:8:0-2-2

SWINGER/EXACTA/PLACES/WINS

Cash Time.... to come home

4 competitive handicaps in the P6 means one is going to need a good dose of luck and the 'right' structure ..... other thoughts :

R2: Could be a rough start to the BP; Winter Haze finding support again, but base on her first run, it's taking a chance to trust that; Allmyloving has moderate form, but pole position a big advantage; Celestial Fire good debut in what looks a strong maiden, wide draw, but imo could be good enough to at least make the others work; She Can Dance who knows - at least also has a good draw going for her; Tungsten tries blinkers, so upset material imo despite a wide draw .... I'm loading up

R3: Another 'not-so-straight-forward' contest imo; as Biggie mentions the formline of the race in Jan throws a spanner in the works - however it was soft that day, so I'm not so sure that the form will come to the fore again today; Byron Bay looks progressive, but not sure to stay the extra 600; Smart Deal has had many chances, but is one that imo is not suited to soft ground and has finished 2nd twice over this track and trip - not to be ignored - but only Blind Asset can be totally ignored imo

R4: Looks a little more clear-cut; The Brass Way is improving steadily and tries blinkers, so should go close, with Blockhead the main danger imo; I think both Latin Opus and Gimmethefire faces stronger today and have more to do, while Duke of Swing if overcoming a wide draw could feature

R5: Eightfolds Lass looks the right one here; Tuscan Light the obvious danger, but her wide draw is a disadvantage; Vijeta is finding some support in the market, so could surprise

R6: Very tough race - anything possible

R7: I'm taking a chance here on Winter Watch - consistent filly from an in-form stable and looks well in at the weights against Three Stars and See You Tyger; main danger I make the stable mate Opera who tries blinkers and looks very well weighted imo; for me La Bella Mia has something to find of top weight over a trip that seems a touch sharp

R8: Not a lot to choose between the top 4 and anyone could pop up; perhaps Only to Win has the best credentials over this 1600 also taking into account that she beat Tammany Hall convincingly in Feb .... Waity Katie not totally out of it with the 2.5 kgs allowance

R9: A real minefield; for me I like Trip to Troy, who is a winner over this track and trip; on straight form holds Genesis who is a big threat imo, as G ran well above his rating last time and when he met TtT it was his first run after a break; real roughie to upset could be Shanghai Pierce who ran well above his rating on Thursday behind Alyaasaat and jumps from pole position

Enjoy

R5 Eightfolds Lass and R7 La Bella Mia- dbl and R3 Byron Bay- treble
R5 swingers/ exacta Eightfolds and Vijeta

Back to James Maree for some pace judgement work for Lyle Hewitson.
Another poor from the front ride by our champion jockey.
He's good,no doubt about it,but he fails way too many times when he tries to set the pace.
He's young but compared to Marcus and Strydom when they lead,he has plenty to learn.

Tried to upload trainers comments in Computaform........... only taking up space.

And durbs you have plenty more to learn so stop moaning every oppurtunity you get to moan about the jocks or trainers.

Ok point taken Harry.
Just unimpressed the way he has been riding from the front lately.
He's our champion jockey and is going to get plenty top rides and punters are going to count on him to give the horse a decent ride.
I just expect better from him that's all.

Is it just me of did Lyle just stop riding the horse?????