Kenilworth 20/08/2022

THIS IS A CARD TO BE VERY CAUTIOUS ON.

There’s been heavy rain at Kenilworth this week and as a result we have a pen of 31, which makes the going heavy. This is a lot softer than the previous maximum pen (27) this winter season and horses are going to find it a real slog. Form reversals are almost certainly going to occur.

There hasn’t been a draw bias up the Kenilworth straight thus far this winter, but small draws can be dramatically advantageous when the going is heavy, so I would be looking for a bias in the early races to see if there is an edge to be found there.

Race 4: Maiden 1600m

There is very little separating #1 MASTERFUL GUY (15-4) and #4 FUTURE TURN (11-20) on a line through Galactic Path and Royal Port Louis. #1 MASTERFUL GUY is battling to break his maiden and is hardly one to have a lot of confidence in, but he has handled soft ground well and heavy going is unlikely to be a problem. He was narrowly pipped over CD last time and he is far better value than the Fav considering how closely matched they are on form, so he’s first choice. #6 ALLEZ MORIS (11-2 in from 7-1) is related to horses with some decent ability and his breeding suggests he’ll relish this trip. I’ve stated previously that this stable is capable of getting big improvement out of their runners from run one to run two and he is therefore very much respected. #2 NAUSHON (15-4) has disappointed and I do have concerns that he may prefer a sound surface, so I can’t have major confidence in him.

#4 FUTURE TURN is very obviously a big runner here, but I expect a major drift in his price as he is far too short in the early market. As a potential banker for many players, I therefore have to oppose him, although he has to be included in tote bets. At the price, I’M AGAINST HIM.

SELECTION: 1-6-4

Check out the rest of the blog on:

bettingmyway.com/2022/08/19/kenilworth-winter-20-08-2022/

Horses have been galloped this morning at Kenilworth and course is deemed safe for racing to go ahead today, although going is heavy

Note the hotpot in Race 8 is now scratched.

Scratchings:

Race # Horse # Horse Name Reason Time Date Adv. Advised By
2 1 Future Contract Not Eating Up 07:46 20220820 Robert Barrett
7 5 On The Road Again Not Eating Up 08:22 20220820 Candice Bass-Robinson
8 4 Gimme's Lassie Not Eating Up 08:22 20220820 Candice Bass-Robinson
8 6 Majestic Queen Elevated Temperature 08:12 20220820 Andre Nel

Not eating up ......wish I had the same problem.

Fancy the treble :-

R2) Gold Poker Game x (R3) Teatro x (R4) Future Turn

Race 1 - SELUKWE
Race 4 - HOLY ORDERS
Race 5 - GLOBAL MOVEMENT
Race 8 - TURKISH KELIM

COMPUTAFORM: aztabstorage.blob.core.windows.net/tabon...WORTH@2022.08.20.pdf