Kenilworth 20/08/2022

  • Justanotherpunter
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Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago - 2 years 9 months ago
#848798
THIS IS A CARD TO BE VERY CAUTIOUS ON.

There’s been heavy rain at Kenilworth this week and as a result we have a pen of 31, which makes the going heavy. This is a lot softer than the previous maximum pen (27) this winter season and horses are going to find it a real slog. Form reversals are almost certainly going to occur.

There hasn’t been a draw bias up the Kenilworth straight thus far this winter, but small draws can be dramatically advantageous when the going is heavy, so I would be looking for a bias in the early races to see if there is an edge to be found there.

Race 4: Maiden 1600m

There is very little separating #1 MASTERFUL GUY (15-4) and #4 FUTURE TURN (11-20) on a line through Galactic Path and Royal Port Louis. #1 MASTERFUL GUY is battling to break his maiden and is hardly one to have a lot of confidence in, but he has handled soft ground well and heavy going is unlikely to be a problem. He was narrowly pipped over CD last time and he is far better value than the Fav considering how closely matched they are on form, so he’s first choice. #6 ALLEZ MORIS (11-2 in from 7-1) is related to horses with some decent ability and his breeding suggests he’ll relish this trip. I’ve stated previously that this stable is capable of getting big improvement out of their runners from run one to run two and he is therefore very much respected. #2 NAUSHON (15-4) has disappointed and I do have concerns that he may prefer a sound surface, so I can’t have major confidence in him.

#4 FUTURE TURN is very obviously a big runner here, but I expect a major drift in his price as he is far too short in the early market. As a potential banker for many players, I therefore have to oppose him, although he has to be included in tote bets. At the price, I’M AGAINST HIM.

SELECTION: 1-6-4

Check out the rest of the blog on:

bettingmyway.com/2022/08/19/kenilworth-winter-20-08-2022/
Last edit: 2 years 9 months ago by Justanotherpunter.
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

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  • PeterD
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
#848817
Horses have been galloped this morning at Kenilworth and course is deemed safe for racing to go ahead today, although going is heavy
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  • Justanotherpunter
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
#848819
Note the hotpot in Race 8 is now scratched.

Scratchings:

Race # Horse # Horse Name Reason Time Date Adv. Advised By
2 1 Future Contract Not Eating Up 07:46 20220820 Robert Barrett
7 5 On The Road Again Not Eating Up 08:22 20220820 Candice Bass-Robinson
8 4 Gimme's Lassie Not Eating Up 08:22 20220820 Candice Bass-Robinson
8 6 Majestic Queen Elevated Temperature 08:12 20220820 Andre Nel
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
#848821
Not eating up ......wish I had the same problem.

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  • bayern
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
#848822
Fancy the treble :-

R2) Gold Poker Game x (R3) Teatro x (R4) Future Turn
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
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  • FaceThePace
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
#848824
Race 1 - SELUKWE
Race 4 - HOLY ORDERS
Race 5 - GLOBAL MOVEMENT
Race 8 - TURKISH KELIM

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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

2 years 9 months ago
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Re: Kenilworth 20/08/2022

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