Try and Work This One Out

  • Flash Harry
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Re: Re: Try and Work This One Out

11 years 3 months ago
#448946
to me is fraud if the big money come in after the race is close. other people give the simple solution let the race close for the idiot oversees 5 minute before the jump. imagine how much more money is go on when a 3/1 shot shot 15 rand with 4 minute to go. to me is no reason why these is tolerate

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  • Edge
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Re: Re: Try and Work This One Out

11 years 3 months ago
#448950
Tommy_Hotspur Wrote:
> Edge Wrote:
>
>
> > TH, I make all my betting decisions one minute
> > before the off, and I'm not interested in which
> > one's going to shorten, I'm more interested in
> > which one has lengthened. Therein lies the
> value.
> > I also have no interest in the Aussie ghost,
> > since his money comes on after the race closes,
> > and even I can't see that coming.
> >
> > If you think I'm better than you, well, you're
> > entitled to your opinion! :)
>
> But there generally is no value to be had until
> after the big money comes in, that is just the rub
> right there. The horses trade relatively range
> bound because the influx hasn't shown up until the
> co-mingling happens in which case the dividends go
> haywire. So even if you picked the horse who you
> perceive offers you value, that may all change
> once the co-mingling is complete. you have perhaps
> gotten lucky by picking horses that have drifted
> off the boards due to the ghostly funds but wait
> until you back the horse who is showing R6-00 a
> win and you feel 3/1 is value, then after the
> horses cross the line the horse changes to R1-20 a
> win........then what?


You hit the nail on the head, TH, which is why I give local racing a miss, with the exception of Scottsville. The Win pools are too thin to get a read. My punting day consists of Aussie racing in the morning, French racing in the afternoon, and U.S. racing in the evening.

Don't ask me to explain Scottsville, I can't, because the pools are not any bigger than the other weekend venues, but for some reason it just works.

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  • Chris van Buuren
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Re: Re: Try and Work This One Out

11 years 3 months ago
#448952
All the best Edge!!! Hit them hard no matter where you play!

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