Durban July Final Field

royal president wrote: Will karma favour Horizon .... A scratching to happen ....

shrek wrote: My take on the race is as follows:

It is Edict Of Nantes and Al Sahem's race to lose. They both look classy and with luck in running should both be in the shake up. They have beaten the other 3 year old's enough times to so I can't see another 3 year old winning the race.

For the older horses the only one out of the top 7 I give a chance to is Marinaresco as he is classy but I still think he will battle to give 6 kg's plus to the two 3 year old's. It's My Turn has a master aboard and seems to be coming along the right way. He looks a big runner.

I am not convinced that either Ten Gun Salute or Nightingale have what it takes to win this so I am brassing them.

If Black Arthur can run as fast as the talk is about him it is race over. Off 1 kg less than he carried to a creditable 7th last year he should be there at the business end.

Mr Winsome carries a light weight for an improving 4 year old and is bang in form. If there is no pace he will battle to catch them, if there is a decent pace expect him to be picking them off at the finish. He is my best place bet at 42/10 on Betxchange.

Elusive Silva has also done nothing wrong in this campaign and is another older horse with a light weight. He should also be right there at the finish.

My prediction for order of finish is:
13 Al Sahem
12 Edict Of Nantes
14 Mr Winsome
11 Black Arthur
15 Elusive Silva
8 It's My Turn

winzip wrote: the race will be dominated by the cape runners.i have ignored both kzn runners and most of the jhb runners.only jhb horse who has a chance to make top 6 is al sahem and i only give him a chance because his trainer seems to have the 'magic touch' with his horses.
my top 6 is

1 its my turn cape derby winner.carrying same weight as last yr wen 4th at 3,striker up.
2 black arthur big chance,nice weight,good pilot and stable fancies.
3 edict of nantes cape derby winner.very strong pointer to july winners.an ok jock
4 marinaresco best horse in the race,big weight,strong jock.will be right there.
5 elusive silva nice weight,top cape rider,has a chance.
6 al sahem wouldn't surprise me if he won,magic trainer who scares me in any race.

only nightingale,and mr winsome could possibly trouble the top 6 spots,the rest only making up the numbers and making the bookies a fortune,