Turf Standside 07/11

Pack Leader should win after being very unlucky last run.
Summer Pudding and Man Of Steel meet and this should be a lovely race to see.

Race 1: Smuts , form is fair with winners from the formlines , trainers runners finding form again after a quiet patch worth a nibble @ 25/1

Thought I would bump the thread before it goes to page 2

A few decent horses and punts look on the cards today and exotics should not be difficult to catch.


Good Punting

1 Horse Racing South Africa TURFFONTEIN RACE 2 2020-11-07 12:30 13. IN LIMBO M/Win 1.33 Pending
2 Horse Racing South Africa TURFFONTEIN RACE 3 2020-11-07 13:05 1. MILL QUEEN M/Win 1.11 Pending

In Limbo (maybe not MDK not bullish)
Mill Queen
Pack Leader
Summer Pudding vs lady of Steel (scr)
Castle Corner

Could it be this easy ?

Dawson stable have scratched a few over the past weeks - Maybe virus? But today they send out a really nice horse - ELIUD - now always difficult to follow up on a Maiden victory but especially difficult when you are rated 86 - Well that debut win was special as he beat Bingwa by 3,5 l - That horse is now about a 96 - The merit of that win must be endorsed - He was green and faced a challenging draw which saw him run on from behind the pack to win going away. His daily time was the fastest with second quickest being the future hat-trickster, Sheer Talent. That experience will have brought him on and I do take cognizance of Bingwa's run last week when 5th behind MALMOOS. Not sure if he can beat PACK LEADER at this early stage of his career but I will have a bet and include him in exotics - A horse for the season if placed correctly on exposed form.

Dave Scott wrote: In Limbo
Mill Queen
Pack Leader
Summer Pudding vs lady of Steel
Castle Corner

Could it be this easy ?

Lady Of Steel scratched.

Sweet n spicy
Run April run

Just some information needed can someone advise why would 2 horses with a extremely low merit rating be entered in a progress plate talking about to Human horses today, purely on rating terms very difficult for them to win and there's a cost when you nominate your horse just curious to know the reason.

In no way am I trying to question the trainer credentials etc but I noticed this happens mainly in plate races where horses are entered with low ratings but difficult for them to win.

Dave Scott wrote: In Limbo (maybe not MDK not bullish)
Mill Queen
Pack Leader
Summer Pudding vs lady of Steel (scr)
Castle Corner

Could it be this easy ?

Update

Run April Run and House Master g e/w
Prospector and Mount Laurel include in the exotics.

KitKat wrote: Run April Run and House Master g e/w
Prospector and Mount Laurel include in the exotics.

Apologies. Call Me Master, not House Master

Smallish fields with quite a few runners who are looking hopelessly outclassed - thoughts:

R2: The much vaunted family of Hawwaam makes her debut; this should be too short and the betting also seemingly suggesting that; Magical Flight finding the money, but I think she she will have to run to beat Run April Run

R3: Mill Queen stands out on class - a lot will depend on the pace though, as she seems to be better over slightly shorter; I make the 3yr old Sweet and Spicy the danger; gets a whole lot of weight from the older fillies and may be better than rated.

R4: Pack Leader the obvious one; Eliud the unknown quantity, but I'd like to see the stable showing some signs of being over whatever has been plaguing the horses; only Putontheredlight and Prospector (may be better than last effort) to consider of the others

R5: Open handicap, where only Graduate seems to have no chance; ExpressfromtheUS probably better over the shorter trip, but my first choice is Crank It Up - very consistent and got only 3 points for his last win, which brings him into the race with a big chance imo

R6: Summer Pudding obviously all the rage, but a look at the best weighted column shows that the field is closely matched; I do fancy a bit of Rouge Allure; should hold Mount Laurel on their last meeting behind Anything Goes, and if in the mood, could make them pick up their feet here; the two other Peter runners also in form, so not to be ignored

R7: Pinnacle Stakes, but for me the most difficult race on the card; last week Oravar almost did me a big favor, and today the jock deserts him in favor of Down to Zero, who looks to have a chance on best form at these weights, along with stable mate Angel's Power and the mare Double 'O' Eight; Mardi Gras has run well after a break before, so imo not the Tarry benefit that most seem to expect

R8: I really fancy Copper Mountain here - seems to hold many of these on a line through Captain Morisco; 2nd best for me is Golden Pheasant, but any of the other (bar maybe Aristachus) can pick up the pieces should CM fail

R9 Looks a 2 horse contest imo; Castel Corner overdue to win, but the form of Call Me Master's debut also looks quite strong; CC should have the edge looking at the draws, but CMM certainly worth including

Enjoy