Kenilworth, Cape Derby

Race (1)
Trompie couldn't have been more impressive when winning on debut. Being the only winner in the line-up, at level weights must be well-in. Being a Juvenile race, keep an eye on the betting as juveniles progress at different rates, however on exposed form, must rate the one to beat.

Race (2)
Body Electric ran and won on the same day, over the same distance as Trompie. On times, would have finished 5.0 lengths off Trompie. Slightly more open than the first race, but Body Electric should prevail. Punters can get the day off to a good start with the double.

Race (3)
Really trappy affair. At the weight turn-around, Bayberry should confirm the placings with Chrome Yellow. Winner of this race a year ago, hard to believe only a two time winner. Chrome Yellow can be forgiven for last run, appears to have valid excuses and peak run now, so wouldn't surprise if he turned the tables on Bayberry. Should one of these two not win, an upset cannot be ruled out.

Race (4)
Make this a two horse race between Firealley and Warrior. Warrior has been holding form since winning it's maiden, bar the run in the Queens Plate where he appeared to be outclassed. Won a really good race last time out after switching in late in the piece. Has 4 wins and a second from 6 runs over the course and distance, so the evidence is there for all to see. Warrior has beaten Firealley 5 runs back at level weights. Firealley on the other hand, a not so impressive record over the course and distance, but is dropping in class. Important to note, three runs back, Firealley ran second to Universal by 0.40 of a length whilst conceding 6.0kgs. Universal came out and won the Politician Stakes (Grade 3), and is running in the Derby. Taking my chances with Firealley.

Race (5)
The race which could make the P6 gain momentum, if Rio Querari fails. Obviously aimed at this race and under the conditions must be the one they all have to beat. Should Rio Querari fail, think Seeking The Stars will pick up the pieces. Really difficult seeing a three year old win this, however for a decent P6 pay-out, stick one or all in, and hope for the upset.

Race (6)
If Double Superlative runs close to his rating, they all running for second. The current price (1/1 or 11/10) must be value if repeating the last run.

Race (7)
All points to Princess Calla being the right one. Performed well against arguably the best filly in the country, Captain's Ransom. On ratings and 2/2 course and distance, if not feeling the effects of a hard season, should win this.

Race (
The last two races, difficult to be confident, go as wide as you budget allows.

Race (9)
Field

There’s a panel tonight on 240

Snaith
Woodruff
Smit

Have been looking forward to this race day and the pick 6 looks reasonable 🧐
Has to be a few bankers 🤞

I agree mostly with bayern - this seems reasonably straight-forward - thoughts .....

R1: Money seemingly pouring on Trompie, and of course he can win, but imo no value at odds-on - especially taking into account that on a line with Jayrani, We're Jamming should hold him - none of the first-timers finding any betting support, so I'd go We're Jamming from Trompie.

R2: With the scratching of the stable mate, Body Electric seems hard to beat, most of the others seem to have something to find; on her debut win Primula does seem good value to run into the placings

R3: Bayberry won this race last year, (his only win in a year) and he does seem the right one on form; Chrome Yellow has not gone the trip, but runs if he should have no problem with it and could be the main danger; the others like Flower of Saigon, Follow the Star and Salvator Mundi can upset if there is no pace

R4: At first glance I thought Warrior must be the right one, but a closer look at the form points to this being quite competitive; Warrior did beat Firealley at level weights in April last year, and fair to say they have both improved a lot since then; on indirect form when they were both beaten by Hoedspruit, Firealley does hold Warrior, but those formlines were 7 months apart, so not a lot to be learnt from them imo; best roughie imo is Rockin' Ringo who is weighted to run close to both Firealley and Warrior and he may be at best over 1600 - but he may struggle to beat them if they run into a headwind in the straight; not a lot between Firealley and Super Silvano on their last meeting, but imo the 1600 will suit Firealley better; so a lot of waffling, but in the end it does look a 2-horse war between Warrior and Firealley; I don't think Silver Operator can beat those two over 1600 and the rest seems held imo

R5: Rio Querari suffered a saddle slip in the Cape Flying, but for which I think he would have won that; over the 1200 he really looks hard to beat; Seeking the Stars really game from the front, but I think RQ will run him out of it in the closing stages; for me I think the 3yr-olds have a tough task

R6: I see Universal is finding a lot of betting support, but for me it would be quite a shock should Double Superlative get beat

R7: Everything points to Princess Calla, and imo can only be beaten if she does run flat after a busy season, in which case I think Amanzimtoti will win this; Maria Querol does get 2kgs from Amanzimtoti, so that brings her into the race as well should PC fail

R8: Many first-timers, so guesswork but of the raced runners it should be fought out by Certainly and My Mia

R9: Tough Maiden to close where the draw and luck in running will play a big part along with jockeyship; if I were having an each-way bet for fun, I'd go for Faire Advantage

Enjoy

Bob Brogan wrote:

There’s a panel tonight on 240

Snaith
Woodruff
Smit

What time is the panel discussion?

johnnycomelately wrote:

What time is the panel discussion?

8.25pm

Thanks Bayern:)

COMPUTAFORM news.tabonline.co.za/FieldsPDF/Computafo...WORTH@2022.02.26.pdf

Philosophise


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Heres some food for thought for you Rio fan boys:

www.formgrids.info/subscriber/proLengthB...KW&dist=1200&cnty=ZA