Hollywoodbets Durban July Log

Elmo wrote:

Interesting run from Do IT Again, finding traffic at back of the field, lol .Although second last finished off with a good stride. Another place bet for the July. So far looks like the Daily News 2000 formline might hold up for the July with more improvement to come from Without Question. If there is going to be an upset maybe Pomp and Power .

Again I think it depends on what the Handicapper does - he will never in his life (imo) again run to his current rating of 124 - which as it stands means he comes in with top weight 60 kgs; now if the Handicapper is lenient, he may get dropped a point or 2 - which still means (imo) that he has a lot to do on current form

I think Fourie will opt for Without Question - but I can't see that one finishing in front of See It Again

Frodo wrote:

Elmo wrote:

Interesting run from Do IT Again, finding traffic at back of the field, lol .Although second last finished off with a good stride. Another place bet for the July. So far looks like the Daily News 2000 formline might hold up for the July with more improvement to come from Without Question. If there is going to be an upset maybe Pomp and Power .

Again I think it depends on what the Handicapper does - he will never in his life (imo) again run to his current rating of 124 - which as it stands means he comes in with top weight 60 kgs; now if the Handicapper is lenient, he may get dropped a point or 2 - which still means (imo) that he has a lot to do on current form

I think Fourie will opt for Without Question - but I can't see that one finishing in front of See It Again

So many horses running so bad it's hard to believe, in all feature races so far tbh

can anyone share the chances of Nebraas getting a run , i now see Do It Again was @ 33/1 this morning and now dropped to 25/1

Watched the replay on Winchester Mansion's win ,wow BIG runner July day .
My shortlist See it Again/Winchester Mansion/Pomp and Power/Without Question/.I don't see any of the JHB horses hitting the frame but if they do then BIG quartet payout .Winchester Mansion Wow!

I see Aragosta has been declared for the Derby on Saturday

Zapatillas given 4 points for running third to CD and AM
Safe Passage down to 123
Do It again down to 121
Cousin Casey unchanged
Rascallion Unchanged

31 still standing

Sylvester wrote:

Zapatillas given 4 points for running third to CD and AM
Safe Passage down to 123
Do It again down to 121
Cousin Casey unchanged
Rascallion Unchanged

31 still standing

.... and Winchester Mansion 112 :ohmy:

Frodo wrote:

Sylvester wrote:

Zapatillas given 4 points for running third to CD and AM
Safe Passage down to 123
Do It again down to 121
Cousin Casey unchanged
Rascallion Unchanged

31 still standing

.... and Winchester Mansion 112 :ohmy:

Winchester Mansion is rated higher than Pacaya now although being beaten by the latter. Pacaya was only 20th on the last log. They set a precedent last year, that even if you win a "preferential race" it does not mean you automatically in.

Billy Bowlegs and Second Base last ran at the end of April 2023 with Nebraas one week later.

Jimmy Don had a flat run and his position will be in jeopardy.

Which horses will be eliminated from the last log if Pacaya and Winchester Mansion are to take their place?

Drakenstein already has runners and maybe Snaith will scratch Silver Darling in order for Pacaya to sneak in and in doing so Winchester Mansion owned by Drakenstein can get a run. Interesting times....

Rockpool out

Great to see (almost) the whole field separated by about 8 pounds. Will be a proper handicap! The way SIA finishes off the 10f, you can't help but think there's a few pounds in hand over the July trip.

i would drop aragossta and bless my stars. and Pacaya and Jimmy done would be the reserve runners

Billy Bowlegs 118 Alec Laird
Winchester Mansion 112 Brett Crawford
Time Flies 117 Brett Crawford
Zapatillas 126 Brett Crawford
Jimmy Don 116 Erico Verdonese
Cousin Casey 122 Glen Kotzen
Puerto Manzano (ARG) 123 J A Janse van Vuuren
Pacaya 110 Justin Snaith
Silver Darling 117 Justin Snaith
Without Question 120 Justin Snaith
Do It Again 121 Justin Snaith
Pomp And Power 123 Justin Snaith
See It Again 124 Michael Roberts
Aragosta 114 Mike de Kock
Dave The King 122 Mike de Kock
Safe Passage 123 Mike de Kock
Second Base 120 Robyn Klaasen
Bless My Stars 109 Sean Tarry
Nebraas 117 Sean Tarry
Rain In Holland 120 Sean Tarry
Rascallion 122 Vaughan Marshall
Son Of Raj 115 Weiho Marwing

To me these are the 22 left with a chance so 4 will lose out.

Bless My Stars won a "Win And You In" race so is guaranteed to run

Athandiwe Mgudlwa, rode her to victory over the weekend and will take the ride for the July according to the interview of Sean Tarry after her win.