HOLLYWOODBETS DURBAN JULY GALLOPS

wrote:

Tigershark post=900037 userid=1816I agree Frodo, good value.

What am I missing with Immediate Edge? 7/1 and beat Olivia's Way when in receipt of 1.5kgs... what odds would Olivia's Way be in this field carrying 54.5kgs?

Immediate Edge is a real dark horse imo, as we don't know how good he is; Olivia's Way I think the connections might have decided that they would rather staying in Gauteng (I have heard rumours of an entry into the Summer Cup) - but the way she runs, they might have thought Greyville might not suit her 

......MDK is looking for every advantage to try bag this....taking this horse down in the 11th hour gets more juice at sea level.... but these days those road trips are risky......has taken me 14hours in a violent truck strike and spent 4 hours outside little Switzerland forced onto an alternate route......then 10 hours on a return trip with an accident on van Reenen's....will make a final decision to have a wee stab on looks down to post....unsure
 

mr hawaii wrote:

Although I am not on Immediate Edge I can see the reasoning....this is really the only unexposed horse....he has made massive improvement....look at where he runs in the Derby...look who finished ahead of him ....now they GELD him and he goes close to a horse that has now won 2 legs of that Gauteng series ....he was not even ready that day...then he rolls Olivia's way with ease ...she would have won the Oaks had they gone for that race....she also finished ahead of Spumante Dolce in the classic who then went on to run second behind 8 on 18 in the daily News....I will back Olivia's way every day to beat Spumante over 1800m plus...don't ignore this horse...last 5 winners carry under 54kg

Not wanting to start a bun fight, how is Immediate Edge unexposed? He has run 2450m, 8 on 18 has never gone beyond 2000m. Maybe i have the weights all wrong, but i feel Immediate Edge is the worst weighted horse in the race based on ratings. Even if you grant he is better than rated, bump him up as much as you want and he will still be under sufferance. On the current rating, Immediate Edge has to transform into Pegasus to win this.
 

bayern wrote:

mr hawaii wrote:

Although I am not on Immediate Edge I can see the reasoning....this is really the only unexposed horse....he has made massive improvement....look at where he runs in the Derby...look who finished ahead of him ....now they GELD him and he goes close to a horse that has now won 2 legs of that Gauteng series ....he was not even ready that day...then he rolls Olivia's way with ease ...she would have won the Oaks had they gone for that race....she also finished ahead of Spumante Dolce in the classic who then went on to run second behind 8 on 18 in the daily News....I will back Olivia's way every day to beat Spumante over 1800m plus...don't ignore this horse...last 5 winners carry under 54kg

Not wanting to start a bun fight, how is Immediate Edge unexposed? He has run 2450m, 8 on 18 has never gone beyond 2000m. Maybe i have the weights all wrong, but i feel Immediate Edge is the worst weighted horse in the race based on ratings. Even if you grant he is better than rated, bump him up as much as you want and he will still be under sufferance. On the current rating, Immediate Edge has to transform into Pegasus to win this.