HOLLYWOODBETS DURBAN JULY GALLOPS

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Muhtiman post=900035 userid=767......not that the times really matter as the pacier sorts showed they are quicker....but for me the best were 8on18 although he did not hit his top straps he is an imposing race horse.....and surprisingly Native Ruler but I may be biased as I am a sucker for the flashy chestnuts.... 

As you say, times are a bit confusing (and who is to say they are correct) - but from the times recorded I think 8 on 18 was not that great (belying his short odds) - can't have Native Ruler - best gallop of the morning (but I am biased) was On My Honour - IF they are correct - to quicken off a fast pace (44.9 for the 800-finish) and a not too shabby 22.69 (2nd fastest of the morning, despite jumping a shadow close to the finish) for the 400-finish, I think 4.66/1 for the first 4 is a steal 

 

......when drilling into the pedigrees On My Honour was my dark horse as his tail(dam) line has stout stamina genes....however he seems a bit immature and spooked at a small shadow and again at the pullup into the poly....I would not discount his chances totally.... and if they go slow at the jump and he keeps the box seat and stays near the rail in the final drive he may make those swingers pay.....but if the jock takes him down the middle and he finds those late afternoon shadows.....oops


 

Hopefully he would have seen the shadows today, (I suppose they would like to keep the track in pristine condition, so no chance of having a canter again next week 

) - but yes that would a worry ...

......the reason I mention this is that one July day a goodie in the earlier juvenile race spooked at the not so late afternoon grandstand shadow and tossed the race......this year with a fuller program this race is later and the entire course down the business end should be under the shadow but daylight until until then.....he already races with a rather large shadow roll(nose band) and he still picks out the oddities on the surface....the box seat with cover may keep him from noticing the surface when they turn into the straight....huh
 

Craig Pienaar wrote:

On my honour was the best gallop on what I saw , selukwe is a lovely horse and will be flying in the last 200m but talk on the course is oriental charm is better than last year and will win it again , it's gonna be a great race 

Glenn Kotzen was beaming from ear to ear when Warren Lenferna interviewed him afterwards and Bling Khumalo was also full of praise for the horse. Definitely one to include in all bets . 
 

[attachment=17377]Greys Inn July Result.jpg[/attachment] wrote: Greys Inn July Result.jpg[/attachment]Dazza post=900081 userid=17249"]I backed Greys Inn that year as I had a dream number 10 won !

If you remember correctly Greys Inn actually didn't have a number on the saddle cloth rather the South African flag to mark 10 years of democracy if I'm not mistaken? 

My good friend in Cape Town still reminds me of that story today ! 

I hear what you are saying about everyone losing , but it's a stark reminder that odds on shots do get rolled in the July. Tread carefully!! 

Immediate Edge also happens to be 10 this year but alas I haven't had any dreams.... Yet. 




 

Dazza wrote:

Thanks Sly ! Now look through that field , quality horses with the exception of probably Muscat Express who.came from Zim .

There is no doubt the quantity and quality of horse in SA is not what is used to be. 

No doubt....so as a purist I would love 8 on 18 to win ...if he is as good as he seems to be let him win and go on to perhaps win a graded race overseas...then bring him back to enhance the breed....we need testing of our top horses....we don't need paper champions like those in Zimbabwe who win multiple races and dominate because there really is no population to race against...then they come to SA and are floored (25 years ago or even maybe 15 years ago a Zimbabwe champ could still be a worry in SA)....we also have some interesting bloodlines around because of that Jooste guy who imported lists of Aussie blood .....I do think that if the Big 8 wins on Saturday (if he loses it is also likely)....it may be the one of the last times he races in SA as his breeders are innovative and will surely test him in foreign lands

 

Dazza wrote:

Thanks Sly ! Now look through that field , quality horses with the exception of probably Muscat Express who.came from Zim .

There is no doubt the quantity and quality of horse in SA is not what is used to be. 

No doubt....so as a purist I would love 8 on 18 to win ...if he is as good as he seems to be let him win and go on to perhaps win a graded race overseas...then bring him back to enhance the breed....we need testing of our top horses....we don't need paper champions like those in Zimbabwe who win multiple races and dominate because there really is no population to race against...then they come to SA and are floored (25 years ago or even maybe 15 years ago a Zimbabwe champ could still be a worry in SA)....we also have some interesting bloodlines around because of that Jooste guy who imported lists of Aussie blood .....I do think that if the Big 8 wins on Saturday (if he loses it is also likely)....it may be the one of the last times he races in SA as his breeders are innovative and will surely test him in foreign lands