HOLLYWOODBETS DURBAN JULY 2025 SATURDAY 05 JULY

Good morning,
A very happy July day to you all.
I wish you a happy day and hit them hard!
 

Morning clanners

It a bright sunnyvday in Durban, excellent weather for racing.

All the best for the big day.

Lovely day for racing , a chill in the air but should warm up later 

Whirlybird my eachway fancy in the 1st, ran to stronger last few starts but on the poly anything can happen 

How can the Equator be so short as 12-10?
 

Here are my DBN JULY software ratings and rankings including projected odds (scratchings taken out). I may comment on a race by race basis, separating out each race's rankings etc. For now this is the collective set of rankings for your perusal. Disclaimer: No guarantees of success, or making money is promised. My software likes 8on18 too with Oriental Charm 2nd in the rankings. Then it opens up with some longer priced horses. 

manwatweet wrote:

How can the Equator be so short as 12-10?
Crazy price ,should open at least 5/1.
Hard knockers in the race.This horse will drift closer to the race.

 

How many are you expecting to come from the shortlist, dangers and roughies? For example, you think a minimum of 4-6 winners will come from the shortlist 1-2 from the dangers, and 0-2 from the roughies? In other words, what is your confidence level for each grouping? Maybe I can throw together something (multiple tickets) for you here using your confidence levels. So, let's assume your confidence levels are 60%ish that the winners will come from the shortlist, which would mean 6 races x 0.6 = 3.6 thus a minimum of 3 winners will come from the shortlist. If you have 30% confidence in the dangers then of course 6 races x 0.3 =1.8 thus a minimum of 1-2 or even 1-3 could come from this grouping. And of course 10% confidence in the roughies would mean 6 x 0.1 = 0.6 thus 0-1 or 0-2 could come from this grouping.

Off to the course so lets take a few eachway 
race 2 : Magical View 
race 10: Narina Trogon 
race 11: Sundance Kid 

Craig Pienaar wrote:

Off to the course so lets take a few eachway 
race 2 : Magical View 
race 10: Narina Trogon 
race 11: Sundance Kid 

Enjoy Craig .... break a leg. 

Here's wishing everyone a great days racing, and remember to pace yourselves!!
My top 4😁

On my Honour 
Eight on Eighteen 
The Real Prince 
My best Shot

WHIRLYBIRD