Turfforntein 23/09

Sometimes I resent being too cautious -- untill I take bet and lose , lol

Ma Amour on money earned could exit the maiden ranks, although having run in false paced races, nothing can be garnered from those performances. The money could carry her on to a winning mark - but it's a little dubious. Great Sound is one that really confuses me -- this horse should have exited the maidens a long time ago - but just seems unable to carry it's 1600m performance through over longer - but could surprise - since I have seen very few horses with such a drastic performance curve loss over a simple 400m. and then do we allow the market to brow beat us around the obviously promising Cavalleria. I must mention though that my betting book on beaten odds on favorites next time out is runing at 100% success rate over the past 5 races, that statistic makes it very difficult for me to get involved here --- think Champenois, Boatswaine, Hamtpon Court, River Garden Miss Frankel, and More

Cavalleria can win but 8-10 short - going with Serene Countess for places and small wins - Penultimate run was very unlucky

Very Impressive ---! In hindsight, the 8-10 with a 100% record for beaten odds on favourites - extending back many races , was value --- Kick Myself again.

mr hawaii wrote: Cavalleria can win but 8-10 short - going with Serene Countess for places and small wins - Penultimate run was very unlucky

oops but thankfully nice place price on SC for me

mr hawaii wrote:

mr hawaii wrote: Cavalleria can win but 8-10 short - going with Serene Countess for places and small wins - Penultimate run was very unlucky

oops but thankfully nice place price on SC for me

Can't go wrong playing for value in most cases Mr. H

I am just a little more hesitatnt at this track compared to others, since I am trying evverything in my power to try and get a handle on this track.

On any other track I would have climbed into Flying Free in the next race - has all the credentials. But this track is something else.

I have Flying Free and Wellspring on a par at this distance category. Flying Free just hints at having more in the tank.

Goodbye nurse if The Shredder does not find a place

The Shredder will run a big race, and after seeing Flying Free at 5/10 I am going to shout for Wellspring - although that 1.35 length run behind purple diamond in a 600K race , while being severely cramped at the 50m , has to highly recommend this favourite.

Exciting race - FF too much weight, and probably still needing a little --

Not much to say about the rest of the card here - trying to make sense of the HCP's at this track is fruitless - waiting to see how the Chestnut horse goes in the last at Durbanvile.

Lyle Hewitson - Top ride young man