Turfforntein 23/09

Race 7 number 7 must have decent chance

Race 1: [1] Over Easy [2] Silver Maple [3] Sound Cloud - Over Easy tendency to give away lengths at start, is a concern. Silver Maple R1,000,000 purchase watch comments and betting.
Race 2: [1] Ekuseni [2] Red Indy
Race 3: [1] Torrey Pines [2] Holiday Romance
Race 4: [1] Innovation [2] Llandduno
Race 5: [1] Ma Amour [2] Cavalleria [3] Juana - Quite Difficult - Cavalleria hot losing favourite last - must be respected on that alone, Juana just not making it over shorter should improve this trip, Great Sound imo would crack it's maiden over 1600 or 1400 just doesn't seem to stay.

R4 Innovation win

R1 Silver Maple win

R2 [strike]Ekuseni[/strike] Double Tap place

R7 West Coast Warrior ew

Money for the 1st timer Kevin the KO Kid......in the 1st....

rhodieace wrote: Money for the 1st timer Kevin the KO Kid......in the 1st....

Thats Deenos money probably - how do u fancy your chances Deeno & Co - can u beat the fav???

Race 8 Fancy an outsider here and the race does look like it could provide one

1 Boiling Point ,not sure if its worth worrying that Lerena rides the stablemate who i feel has a lot to do.Anyway his maiden win on this track looks a good effort where the field was well strung out.Had Crowd Pleaser behind in an 1800m at the Vaal and wasnt disgraced in Durban.Should need the run but will get on at 4/1

De Kock double for me today
Race 3 Holiday Romance
Race 4 Innovation
Best of luck to all

I'm chuffed to see money come for KEVIN KO, i've got a leg in this one & must confess to taking a small bit of 14's yesterday........ nice to see SOMEONE has confidence in this baby. only time will tell i guess.

Craig Pienaar wrote: De Kock double for me today
Race 3 Holiday Romance
Race 4 Innovation
Best of luck to all

Adding in Royal Utopia for my Trixie.

jimbo wrote:

rhodieace wrote: Money for the 1st timer Kevin the KO Kid......in the 1st....

Thats Deenos money probably - how do u fancy your chances Deeno & Co - can u beat the fav???

Yes

Believe it I took 8/1 yesterday. Only Lance Michael had it at 2/1 yesterday.... the rest were sleeping. Horse racing always has it's ifs and buts BUT lets be positive

ElvisisKing wrote: I'm chuffed to see money come for KEVIN KO, i've got a leg in this one & must confess to taking a small bit of 14's yesterday........ nice to see SOMEONE has confidence in this baby. only time will tell i guess.

All the best Elvis... lets hope it delivers a KO punch.
Not at home today so will phone in for the commentary

Lovely summer's day - racing at the Big T - what more can one ask for .... hoping I may have found a few

R1: First timers hold the key - everything points to the odds-on favorite, but imo much too short in the betting for a Silvano over this trip - imo same could be said for the Kevin KO Kid (break a leg Elvis) - may need further, but who knows; form horse of those that have raced is Son of a Legend, but a wide draw is against him - for me I'd try a trifecta and include both Price of War and Combat Muster who both look good value at current odds

R2: Ekuseni another who imo is too short in the betting, could win of course, but I think Red Indy provides much better value; the booking of Gavin on Samurai Dragon brings that one into the play as well; the rest of the raced runners look moderate, so perhaps Harlan Country (despite a wide draw) needs inclusion in quartets

R3: Competitive maiden for 3 yr old fillies; Torrey Pines should prefer this 1450 and from a good draw has an obvious chance, while Holiday Romance just needs to repeat her first run to be a big runner here; Azkur and Tiger Lace to fight out 3rd with Cape Fire who looks to have a tough task on debut from the draw

R4: For me, a lot of the favorites today are priced up a bit short and Innovation is no exception; obvious chance but not a lot on form between Reminiscence, Escamillo, Michael and Innovation; I am also including Llandudno and the roughie The Falls Road in the P6

R5: Another favorite who represents no value; does take on a moderate lookin bunch though. so can easily justify those odds; main danger imo is Serene Countess, who tries 2000 for the first time, but is out of a staying mare and her penultimate run behind Dame Kelly gives her a big chance here; Ma Amour and Culture Queen probably the only ones to pick up the pieces should both Cavalleria and SC fail ...

R6: Novice handicap, where the favorite again looks the obvious one from pole position; this is a handicap though, and if he is not ready to run to his rating, he can be beaten imo; both the van Vuuren runners come off a break, but any of those could pick up the pieces should Flying Free fail. Biggest danger imo is Wellspring .... he ran only 4 lengths behind So Var, 3 lengths behind Snow Boarding and 4.5 lengths behind Alwahsh - giving them weight; today he is receiving a whopping 9.5 kgs from the favorite and I helped myself to 25/1 offered this morning; Missouri and Soaring High imo are both too high in the ratings and the Matchett coupling are out at the weights

R7: Competitive handicap where many have chances; most likely imo are Captain Chips and West Coast Warrior, but Well Connected tries blinkers and could still prove underrated; those 3 stand out a bit, but all of the others rate some sort of chance of upsetting

R8: Another Novice Handicap and again for me the favorite is vulnerable; I think Starpath is very talented; probably not ideally suited to the inside track but gets blinkers and has dropped a few points in the ratings - and Gavin probably had the choice between the Woodruff runners. Boiling Point is finding absolutely no support in the betting market, so probably is likely to need the run, but if you are opposing Yamato, it could be wise move to include most of the field bar Uposeupay

R9: On USO this morning the talk was all about Royal Utopia, and I fully agree that at the weights she will hammer these (very happy to have nailed down 5/1 earlier); only slight concern may be the break, but stable has confirmed that she is in fine fettle; so I'm taking a chance with her in the last leg of the P6. If she were to get beat, any of the others can pick up the pieces imo

Enjoy