Turfforntein 23/09

I had Captain Chips as a strong contender here, wasn't prepared for it to star favorite. Rambo and Town Flyer have had cracking season starts. The main challanger to Captain Chips was marked down as Neuf de Pape, and I completely discounted Well Connected imaging it would start favourite - so at these long odds, Well Connected looks like some value as well -- but this looks like a typical Turfontein Roulette wheel , pace will be false, winning time will be slower than any runner has achieved on this track before.

True run - I would have Captain Chips from Neuf De Pape --- but looks here like Well Connected could have a say in this one.

top class training feat from G J MAROUN

LOL....Rambo the most under-rated horse in the country -- Also happens to be the horse with the lowest recorded time at this distance of the entire field -- looks like I am beginning to find a playable trend here. - Will go and recheck this fact, since without formgrids it's hard to check the earlier career records of a horse - but this has to rate as one of the weirdest and most unusual trends I have discovered at any track , including all UK racing. -- Find the horse with the slowest time at the trip and back that one ???

Crazy vision win

The last five or so novice races have been won by the horse with the highest average earnings per race , a reproducable statistic with a very good strike rate - so if that is to hold up here, YAMOTO and AURORA AUSTRALIS are the two contenders. Yamoto should be the winner - however AURORA AUSTRALIS
has the lowest recorded time of all the contenders - (it was a winning effort- so probably not fully extended) -- and given this tracks record, we should be able to pick the slowest horse and win.

Heaven forbid we get a true race and Crazy Vision fights it out with Diamond Dancer

Is this not really amazing -- one, wonders what deliberations took place with the those other two remaining in the parade ring for so long.

That is how one imagines a race panning out - but different rules apply here.

Into the last race --- Slowest recorded time of the fancied runners in the next race is Ap's Lilly with Noceur .

So i will Pick Noceur and Royal Utopia.

If I expected the improbable , another true run race - I would have been with September Bloom.

Only on a South African track that a strung out field of horses racing at a good pace, are all slowed up and bunched together on the final turn , when one imagines the horses would be starting their runs. --- but it did look better

It's no wonder we are seeing such nasty accidents and incidents on the track of late , never seen the likes of that kind of race before????

I could not believe my eye's and went to look at the race again ---- the horses tear off at a good gallop strung out, the winner sitting right at the back of the field as they get to the last turn the pacemaker slows the entire field down, they bunch up and almost stumble over one another , with the winner switched out to the outside of them all, then thhey all get going again late ----