Scottsville Sunday

Tony T wrote:

Tony T wrote: Finally, Ive decided that my betting sources are out of form & I'm being mislead. I will put together a system which encompasses medians, benchmarks, average comparatives, WFA scales, analytical data manipulation by unscrupulous persons etc etc. Ill put this together tonight & tip all the winners starting from tomorrow.

Unless Cosmic burst wins

Adams wrote:

Muhtiman wrote:

Adams wrote:

Muhtiman wrote:

Adams wrote: The trainer is probably the most important cog in the wheel Good trainers know their horses----Jockeys, are also very important.

Trainers Like M.de Kock, and some others defy mathematical form analysis --- but Just as you compile track profiles, you need to profile trainers.

Following jockeys or trainers though is likely a quick route to the poor house.

.....yet the biggest value..... is a fair horse from a smaller trainer with a keen but battling jock and connections that dont punt...... :dry:

Not quite following -

.....an example of this was a horse called Great Dictator earlier today.....

Ok, I didn't look at that - but at the start of every day, I scan the indexes for trainers with one runner for the day, trainers with small strings, and jockey strikes - like N.Kotzen and Cumulus. Lucky At Last - etc. Indeed most stables will progress - some never do.

Muhtiman wrote:

Adams wrote:

Muhtiman wrote:

Adams wrote:

Muhtiman wrote:

Adams wrote: The trainer is probably the most important cog in the wheel Good trainers know their horses----Jockeys, are also very important.

Trainers Like M.de Kock, and some others defy mathematical form analysis --- but Just as you compile track profiles, you need to profile trainers.

Following jockeys or trainers though is likely a quick route to the poor house.

.....yet the biggest value..... is a fair horse from a smaller trainer with a keen but battling jock and connections that dont punt...... :dry:

Not quite following -

.....an example of this was a horse called Great Dictator earlier today.....

Ok, I didn't look at that - but at the start of every day, I scan the indexes for trainers with one runner for the day, trainers with small strings, and jockey strikes - like N.Kotzen and Cumulus. Lucky At Last - etc. Indeed most stables will progress - some never do.

.....not many did hence the R16/drum.....the trainer may have been one of the best jockeys this country has produced.....yet he is not really rated as a trainer as far as the stats go.....yet he sends everything out trying more often with appies and lesser rated jocks....when his horses do find the frame they are at big odds.....shit been waiting for this one to find the frame as the genetics are not too shabby.... :oops:

mydada wrote:

Bokked wrote: As a P6 player I think that the card has an open look to it with a couple of favorites winning and a few upsets. Just the way I like it :side:

Any ideas?

Haven't studied but don't you think If Only R9 has a good winning chance,good form ,good draw and jockey strike.I mean looking past her you practically need half the field

Fancy Diamond In The Sky as a bit of a lurker ,,,,

steady rain in Durban most of the day

durbs wrote:

MasterOfMyFate wrote: The horse to take away from that is Neptune's Rain. Cracking run on those weight terms.

Wasn't she weighted to win this time MOMF?She was 10MR points higher than the winner but carrying 1.5kg's less.Ok she is a 3 year old compared to Lunar Rush who is 4 but taking that into account wasn't she still well weighted?

Tony T wrote: Adams, I apologize !! I am not offended. Just a bit of bad humour on a difficult day. Perhaps I can just add the following. You obviously have put a lot of time & effort in your systems & calculations. What bugs me is that very seldom do you commit to giving or advising us of a potential winner or positive course of action. Reading, what seems like pages of your informed opinions, only to be told there is no bet advised is extremely aggravating.
Being told that only "Gamblers" would get involved in most of the races is quite annoying, & offensive as I, & quite a few others on this forum are gamblers.
On certain occasions you tell us "the plan came together" or "business done" or something like that. I found no record of you advising us regarding the aforementioned claims.
I enjoy the forum, different opinions, yours included, threads etc but it would be nice to be committal regarding 1 or 2 horses winning on a day.
Either way, please keep posting as I am sure there are those who value your input.