Kentucky Derby Saturday

rob faux Wrote:

---

> I'm with you Dave.........next thing there will
> be a 7 furlong Guineas .....mind you the
> french,the yanks or the Capeys'.....don't bet
> against it .......lol
>
> Tommy ,we don't get enough data to make a really
> informed choice but,if I am awake at racetime,I
> will have a little each way interest on
> Archarcharch....the few Youtube replays I
> found,showed this horse kicking well on the
> turn,and that has worked in some previous
> years,by stealing a march....but it will only be a
> nibble!


As mentioned before I'm not sure about the Arkansas Derby form so I thought that the winner might be overturned by the 2nd placed horse, Nehro. Neither really feature on my top 5 list.

I think this year should be watched and enjoyed....nobody should HAVE to handicap this race...it is a nightmare from top to bottom. Every horse has some kind of a chance.

Perhaps Barry can let us know what he thought of Animal Kingdom's workout on the Churchill dirt?

I am going to ignore Uncle Mo's last run and take a bet at around 5/1 (tu)

yep 1 1/2 miles and on grass are proper Derby`s sorry Barry()

Toby's Corner is out and Derby Kitten is in.

Animal Kingdom will have to rewrite history on a few accounts if he is going to win the Kentucky Derby. One has to go back to 1918 to find a horse that ran only 4 times before winning the race. One has to go back to 1956 to find a horse that had 6 weeks between races. And, most importantly, no horse that has failed to win on dirt has won the race. But this is a funny year and he may be an exceptional horse. We will see. We like his chances.

We have a better chance to win the Kentucky Oaks on the Friday before the First Saturday in May with Summer Soiree, the 5 to 1 fourth choice. It has been years since we've had any horse train faster than her. In her workout two back she went 1200m in an astonishing 1:09 1/5 on Polytrack. They had to bring out the water trucks to douse the tire marks on the racing surface!

I know you are traveling to Louisville today so I wanted to wish you guys a great trip and a wonderful weekend!!!
Enjoy the atmosphere and have a Mint Julep for me!!!

Aside from Barry's horse, do any of the other runners have any South African links, by pedigrees etc.?

Uncle Mo not certain to run? so maybe just hold on with bets.

5 SHACKLEFORD 16 - 16 3.04 Fixed Win Fixed Place Each Way

Draw not been kind to Barry`s Horse or Uncle Mo


Kentucky Derby post-position draw

1. Archarcharch (Jon Court) 10-1

2. Brilliant Speed (Joel Rosario) 30-1

3. Twice The Appeal (Calvin Borel) 20-1

4. Stay Thirsty (Ramon Dominguez) 20-1

5. Decisive Moment (Kerwin Clark) 30-1

6. Comma To The Top (Patrick.Valenzuela) 30-1

7. Pants On Fire (Rosie Napravnik) 20-1

8. Dialed In (Julien Leparoux) 4-1

9. Derby Kitten (Javier Castellano) 30-1

10. Twinspired (Mike Smith) 30-1

11. Master Of Hounds (Garrett Gomez) 30-1

12. Santiva (Shaun Bridgmohan) 30-1

13. Mucho Macho Man (Rajiv Maragh) 12-1

14. Shackleford (Jesus Castanon) 12-1

15. Midnight Interlude (Victor Espinoza) 10-1

16. Animal Kingdom (Robby Albarado) 30-1

17. Soldat (Alan Garcia) 12-1

18. Uncle Mo (John Velazquez) 9-2

19. Nehro (Corey Nakatani) 6-1

20. Watch Me Go (Rafael Bejarano) 50-1

Okes what about the Oaks?

Barry's horse Summer Soiree had a bullet work just the other day and she is in great form. She should be involved in the finish.

1 Joyful Victory M. Smith 5-2
2 Lilacs and Lace J. Castellano 12-1
3 Summer Soiree G. Saez 5-1
4 Kathmanblu J. Leparoux 4-1
5 Suave Voir Faire M. Mena 50-1
6 Zazu J. Rosario 4-1
7 Her Smile G. Gomez 20-1
8 Bouquet Booth R. Albarado 20-1
9 Daisy Devine J. Graham 20-1
10 Street Storm S. Bridgmohan 50-1
11 Holy Heavens K. Desormeaux 50-1
12 Plum Pretty M. Garcia 5-1
13 St. John's River R. Napravnik 30-1

The favorite should be Joyful victory under Mike Smith but I make it open and the Team Valor horse has as much chance as any if she stretches out to the Oaks distance!

There has also been some talk form Plum Pretty under Matin Garcia. He has been having an excellent season riding a good amount of winners.
Pay your money, take your chance