Kenilworth Saturday 28th January -MET DAY

Dave Scott wrote: TAB have upped the ante!
The carryover going forward on the first Pick 6 on Saturday at Kenilworth, Sun Met day, has been increased to R2.2 million and the pool is now expected to reach R8 million.
“The carryover at Turffontein on Tuesday has enabled us to give and even bigger boost to the Pick 6 pool,” said Vee Moodley, Executive Director: Sports Betting for Phumelela.
The carryover announced earlier was R1.5 million with the pool estimated to be R7 million. However, with some massive upsets at Tuesday’s Turffontein meeting a carryover of R702,352 was announced and that money has been moved to Saturday.
“Don’t forget we also have a second Pick 6 on the day, from Race 8 to Race 13, and another R500,000 will be added to that pool,” said Moodley.

Pool will be well above R9 million

SheaShea wrote: The fly has a friend in cpt. His name is "The Superfly". Gold Standard had a 2000m gallop against a 1400m graded winner. Gold standard murdered this horse with one of the quickest 400 to finish. Bare in mind the 1400 horse took off at 1400 and joined together on the straight. If u don't get on early you will lose out. Another horse that's doing well is French Navy. Not too much details on that but the market suggests otherwise as it was smacked from 40/1 into 25/1. You'll be lucky to get 16/1 on met day. Hope this helps.

FRENCH NAVY is now 16/1

I see Gold Standard has been sold to Drakenstein Stud. With engagement. Keep in mind.

drdom wrote:

Frodo wrote: It has been some time since Snaith last had a winner - will be looking to oppose him cime Saturday

Think he thought his good horses were further along in their preps than they were. suspect they will be closer now.
If SGt Hardy isn't challenged early( I think he blows up if he is) then he will be hard to peg back and must be his best chance . I actually like Its my turn to run close in met

Yip I agree on the Sergeant probably hard to beat, but imo Ovidio represents his best chance - really hard to find anything that can beat him on those weight terms - so imo at best he will have 2 winners on the day

SheaShea wrote:

SheaShea wrote: The fly has a friend in cpt. His name is "The Superfly". Gold Standard had a 2000m gallop against a 1400m graded winner. Gold standard murdered this horse with one of the quickest 400 to finish. Bare in mind the 1400 horse took off at 1400 and joined together on the straight. If u don't get on early you will lose out. Another horse that's doing well is French Navy. Not too much details on that but the market suggests otherwise as it was smacked from 40/1 into 25/1. You'll be lucky to get 16/1 on met day. Hope this helps.

FRENCH NAVY is now 16/1

After The Ringer mentioned this, I went back to have a look at his form - I fancied Mac De Lago as a quartet horse based on his July run, but closer inspection shows that French Navy should have the beating of MDL (based on the July run) and on his run in the Champions Challenge he easily holds MDL - and with the 2 kgs he gets from Legal Eagle, there could be very little between them (also based on the Champions Challenge) - a must inclusion in the quartet and not the worst choice as an outsider

...and Legal Eagle massacred French Navy in the gallop,clearly intimidated

My pics for what its worth:

Race 1 Cuban Emerald E/W
Race 2 Dutch Philip Win Princess Peach and Call To Account Places
Race 3 Gold Image E/W
Race 4 Seegeant Hardy Win Always In Charge Place
Race 5 A New Dawn E/W I Travel Light Place
Race 6 Brutal Force E/W Tevez and Search Party Place
Race 7 Beach GoddessE/W Goodtime Girl and Final Judgement Place
Race 8 Horizen Win Newlands Place
Race 9 Whisky Baron E/W Captain America Place
Race 10 Ovidio Win Arch Rival Place
Race 11 Union Jack E/W Brilliant Crimson and Fifty Cents Place
Race 12 Nima E/W Adorada Place
Race 13 Leisure Trip E/W

Discussion panel, summary, couldn't type all the analysis but for what's its worth, this is there comments

Race 1 - Candice - Rodney and Zud wes.
Zud wes is probably stable elect, better suited to 1200m. Well-weighted, a big runner.
Robert Bloomberg - Zud wes - nice EW bet, would be his first choice, wide opened race tho
Brett - Orion, not soundest, must be respected, open race. Never settle has a chance at the weights
Fourie - open race

Race 2 - Robert Bloomberg - 2 horse race, dutch philip and namibia, lotsa of money for kasimir but has to be a champion to win here.
Candice - dutch philip - hard horse to beat
Fourie - dutch philip, has to be respected, horse to beat.
Call to account - big filly, a lil green first time out, dillon won't ride if no chance?
Fourie expects fields to crowd on the outside of course
Brett - feeling lucky - back end of quartets,
Klopp needs further

Race 3 - Brett - bold respect - big runner
Fourie - happy with his mount Gold image, versatile, expecting big run, add sir frenchie, bold respect. Captain my captain.
Candice - Big mistake - better suited to 1000m,
Has ability, bernie, 2nd to sir frenchie, fit and well, hopeful.
Robert Bloomberg - Gold image if stays, wins, danger barack street and wonderwall must be respected.

Race 4 - Candice - live life, beat carry on alice WFA terms, on that form, a runner.
Robert Bloomberg - sergeant hardy, tough to beat, value elusive path.
Fourie - sergeant hardy good form, elusive path always in charge,live life,cloth of cloud must be respected

Race 5 - Robert Bloomberg - William longsword tough to beat, safe harbour, just sensual
Fourie - african night sky - good draw,value, william longsword one to beat but not convinced. Singapore sling and safe harbour value
Brett - safe harbour must be respected

Race 6 - Brett - gulf storm - blinkers back on to sharpen, tough race, search party space for improvement, 1000m better suited, respect red ray and trip to heaven.
Candice - Tevez, consistent, back to 1000m, good value, trip to heaven one to beat, red ray
Robert Bloomberg - Carry on alice false favorite, red ray 1000m might be sharp. Trip to heaven first choice. tevez coming into form,search party a runner over 1000, riverine not sure
Fourie - Jo's bond - tough. Carry on alice false fav. Riverine a chance,search party and gulf storm big runners. Trip to heaven loses lengths at start but still got a chance.

Race 7 - Candice - silver mountain - bad draw, hoping to get a run in from that draw.
Nightingale don't discount, a mile touch on the sharp side, open race.
Fourie - final judgment - good draw, last time 1800 a bit too far, star express last run was below average, better than that. Lady of the house, good draw, big runner. Goodtime gal from the draw, hopes for a better ride from gavin
Brett - lady of the house - a runner based on the fillies guineas run behind just sensual . Silver mountain to beat, captains flame nice value.
Robert Bloomberg - silver mountain definitely the one to beat, draw not a worry down the long straight, star express the danger.



Race 8 - parx racing, they skipped this race



Race 9 - Fourie - Gold standard - with 52, should be a factor. Thinks this horse is special.
Brett - captain America ultra consistant nice value, whisky baron has improved massively, good prep, legal eagle the one to beat.
Candice - Marinaresco - given a impossible chance in the queens plate, good draw, good chance. Legal eagle and whisky baron has to be respected
Robert Bloomberg - legal eagle 10f shouldn't be a problem, marinaresco given too much to do last 2 starts. Hopefully a better ride from jock. Whisky baron most improved horse receives 4 pounds from marinaresco, should be closer from that winter guineas run. French navy place chance. Gold standard won't be easy.

Race 10 - Robert Bloomberg - Ovidio has field stone cold, danger helderberg blue.
Candice - helderberg blue - not the best prep, can't be confident.
Fourie - zaafira should be fit and should stay, helderberg blue and ovidio
Brett - Ovidio

Race 11 - Fourie - Fifty cents big runner and brilliant crimson based on last run against group 1 horses, lineker value.
Brett - Union jack doin well at home, include in everything, winter prince e/w
Candice - brilliant crimson - better horse around the turn and mile, has a chance, fifty cents to beat but open race.
Robert Bloomberg - favours Lineker and union jack based on the william longsword run. Brilliant crimson a big runner over the mile

Race 12 - Brett - Louisiana - good run expected
Fourie - silvan star will see out the distance, gitano line thru last run. Louisiana done nothing wrong, second to epona, dark horse nima
Robert Bloomberg - louisiana,silvan star,skip a beat on epona formline, gitano nice value e/w

Race - 13 - Candice - Kryptonite - consistant, 1400 better distance, open race.
Brett - open race but leisure trip, califonia girl a chance
Fourie - trippis girl - elusive path formline not disgraced. Tough task but not out of it, lovely rita nice filly, good draw, minor placings
Robert Bloomberg - trippis girl and leisure trip one to beat

Have to say I think 13 races are too many - imo even hardened punters will be hard pushed to remain committed to the end - of course it's nice for the owners, but I myself will not be tempted to have a bet in the last 3 races - also being handicaps they are very difficult from a punter's point of view :ohmy:

Card with value.

Bi Pot: 4-5/12/1-3/2-3-10/1-4-6/1-2-6
R108 full unit.

PA: 12/1-3/2-3-10/1-4-6/1-2-6/1-3-10/6-8-13
R486 full unit.

Sorry meant for Fairview on Wednesday

Frodo wrote: Have to say I think 13 races are too many - imo even hardened punters will be hard pushed to remain committed to the end - of course it's nice for the owners, but I myself will not be tempted to have a bet in the last 3 races - also being handicaps they are very difficult from a punter's point of view :ohmy:

turffontein and Greyville on the same day i believe, abit much indeed